Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002905 0.003121 0.003357 0.003634 0.003953 0.004312 0.004751
2024-10-06 0.002651 0.002955 0.003308 0.003755 0.004318 0.005021 0.005995
2024-10-13 0.002408 0.002751 0.003168 0.003727 0.004481 0.005508 0.007107
2024-10-20 0.002172 0.002521 0.002959 0.003567 0.004431 0.005686 0.007834
2024-10-27 0.002043 0.002409 0.002880 0.003560 0.004577 0.006164 0.009202
2024-11-03 0.001852 0.002197 0.002648 0.003310 0.004321 0.005956 0.009260
2024-11-10 0.001789 0.002149 0.002629 0.003358 0.004523 0.006540 0.011147
2024-11-17 0.001745 0.002120 0.002633 0.003435 0.004781 0.007291 0.013933
2024-11-24 0.001674 0.002049 0.002570 0.003403 0.004847 0.007689 0.016148
2024-12-01 0.001645 0.002034 0.002586 0.003494 0.005142 0.008661 0.021419
2024-12-08 0.001591 0.001980 0.002539 0.003477 0.005232 0.009201 0.026075
2024-12-15 0.001529 0.001911 0.002465 0.003407 0.005208 0.009454 0.029995
2024-12-22 0.001506 0.001901 0.002485 0.003509 0.005570 0.010957 0.049436
2024-12-29 0.001482 0.001888 0.002501 0.003606 0.005950 0.012814 0.104786
2025-01-05 0.001433 0.001835 0.002448 0.003572 0.006031 0.013767 0.210950
2025-01-12 0.001364 0.001749 0.002337 0.003421 0.005810 0.013462 0.259910
2025-01-19 0.001329 0.001712 0.002304 0.003413 0.005936 0.014679 2.867161
2025-01-26 0.001252 0.001609 0.002159 0.003179 0.005467 0.013096 0.523841
2025-02-02 0.001233 0.001594 0.002157 0.003224 0.005709 0.014868 NaN
2025-02-09 0.001220 0.001588 0.002169 0.003296 0.006041 0.017523 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001190 0.001554 0.002132 0.003266 0.006091 0.018728 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001181 0.001552 0.002150 0.003351 0.006488 0.022938 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001156 0.001524 0.002121 0.003334 0.006582 0.025186 NaN